Ankalaev (18-1) joined the UFC as an undefeated and coveted prospect known for his length and knockout power, but his rise was briefly derailed by a last-second submission loss to journeyman Paul Craig in his UFC debut. 2004-2022 CBS Interactive. Hes a stoppage machine and, given Tills surprising regression over the last few years, theres a path to an inside-the-distance win for Du Plessis in this one. The UFC 282: Bachowicz vs Ankalaev Early Prelims kickoff Saturday, December 10 at 6:30pm ET / 3:30pm PT in the United States on ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass. Fight line, props, and parlays for a big payout. With so much happening on Saturday night, let's take a closer look at the full fight card with the latest odds from Caesars Sportsbook before we get to our staff predictions and picks for the PPV portion of the festivities. Lawler is coming off a loss, but Santiago has lost three of his last four, including a knockout defeat vs Li Jingliang at UFC Fight Island 7. When you look at this opponent Ponzinibbio, another guy who is on a decision streak, it's likely this fight is chalked to go the distance. ET on ESPN+, with the prelims set to begin at 8 p.m. But theres hope on Blachowiczs end. Topurias last three fights were against Herbert (win knockout), Ryan Hall (win knockout) and Damon Jackson (win knockout). The keywords here are low volume, as neither fighter is actively hunting finishes. I like the experience of Blachowicz, and I do think rounds could play out competitively just due to a lack of urgency on either side. The 32-year-old is gritty; he has a solid chin and won't back down from Ponzinibbio's inevitable pressures. Through his first three fights, all wins (2 KO, 1 DEC), Stillknocks has landed 6.55 significant strikes per minute (SLpM), a startling number when compared to Tills minuscule 2.26 SLpM. Main Card (ESPN+ PPV, 10 p.m. Whereas the South African is a -140 favorite. Saturday December 10 Sat Dec 10 - UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev . Overall, Hernandez lands 3.97 sig. For an even deeper analysis of the Blachowicz vs Ankalaev odds, click here. Bellator 289 . UFC 282 live blog: Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev Follow the UFC 282 live blog for Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev, the light heavyweight title fight on Saturday in Las Vegas. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the UFC 282: Till vs. Du Plessis odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.. See below for prelim UFC 282 analysis and picks. Hes been wobbled before, but he does not eat strikes very often, making it a challenge to outstrike him with any consistency. On Topurias end, this fight is tough to handicap on the OVER/UNDER rounds. I trust his cardio more than Pimbletts over 15 minutes. In terms of betting, this fight isnt my favorite. Arnold Allen is already proving to be one of them. On paper, it would seem likely that Topuria and Mitchell end up on the mat for most of this fight (perhaps with Topuria on top and Mitchell on bottom) as the duo battle for submissions. Overall, Quarantillo is landing 7.74 significant strikes per minute and 1.37 takedowns per 15 minutes. Gordon is much better in a slower-paced fight where his grit and tenacity can play into his favor. Unfortunately, hell get cracked often in return, and his striking defense sits at a very poor 41 percent. Ankalaevs last three fights have come against Smith (win technical knockout), Santos (win unanimous decision) and Volkan Oezdemir (win unanimous decision). The card also features a big opportunity for Paddy Pimblett and a battle of unbeaten featherweights. Jan Blachowicz Jan Blachowicz. Magomed Ankalaev -260 vs. Jan Blachowicz +210, light heavyweights; Paddy Pimblett -240 vs. Jared Gordon +200, lightweights All Rights Reserved. He is a fade here against a future title contender in Du Plessis. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. And how exactly does each fight end? Ankalaev may fall into a similar trap. Magomed Ankalaev -340 vs. Jan Blachowicz +270, light heavyweights We also think itll be a very short fight, so theres some logic for betting the UNDER 1.5 rounds or UNDER 2.5 rounds (odds TBD). Now, with UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev in sight, Marley has studied the card from top to bottom and revealed his best bets. Stylistically, he should be looking to wrestle, as standing exchanges will undoubtedly end in another brutal finish and potentially the end of Daukaus career. Thug Nasty is famous among UFC fans for his camo shorts and grappling prowess he owns just the second twister submission in promotion history but hes never been tested against an opponent like Topuria. Jan Bachowicz and Magomed Ankalaev headline UFC 282 with a career-altering opportunity to grab the now-vacant light heavyweight championship in the main event from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. This fight has become one of the most anticipated on the card in part because both prospects are undefeated and they created additional intrigue by engaging in a war of words throughout this week at various media outings. UFC 282 fight card, odds Jiri Prochazka (c) -200 vs. Glover Teixeira +170, light heavyweight championship Magomed Ankalaev -220 vs. Jan Blachowicz +180, light heavyweights Paddy Pimblett -200 vs.. UFC 282 odds, prop picks: Accomplished combat sports analyst offers picks for Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev and other fights on Dec. 10 card CBS mixed martial arts analyst Brandon Wise has just revealed his picks for Saturday's UFC showcase in Las Vegas By SportsLine Staff @SportsLine Published: Dec 09, 2022 4:16AM PST . He wont have much one-punch KO power, but he can badly hurt opponents via accumulation and has legitimate submission skills. The Light Heavyweight title is up for grabs Saturday, as the former champion Jan Blachowicz will get a second chance at glory against the top contender in Magomed Ankalaev. Pimblett is likely best as a submission grappler. ET) Jan Bachowicz (+280; bet $100 to win $280) vs. Magomed Ankalaev . Blachowiczs best chance is to work tight, clinch and fire heavily when the two fighters break. UFC 282 Main Event: Jan Blachowicz (+190) vs. Magomed Ankalaev (-320) . A slugfest greatly favors Jans legendary Polish Power and Ankalaev can get overwhelmed by rapid volume thats how Thiago Santos knocked the Russian down for the first time at UFC Vegas 50. That could be a problem against Pimblett, who is likely to shoot takedowns. . Top UFC 282 best bets, schedule, and odds today. If you're looking for some UFC 282 predictions, look no further, because Vegas Odds has you covered. Hell be at his best when he can land takedowns and secure the back. AZ, CT, IA, IL, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, WV, WY only. Follow Brett on Twitter @BrettAppley. He can wear opponents down or break them completely, which may be what will happen to Hernandez. Just 5 days until #UFC282! Topuria (12-0) is regarded for his lethal combination of explosive striking and a world-class ground game. Gordons last five fights have all gone OVER 2.5 rounds, but three of his four losses have come via knockout. Here's what to expect from the Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev main event, as well as some breakdowns . . In a light heavyweight bout in the main event, Jan Blachowicz and Magomed Ankalaev meet Saturday at UFC 282 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.. Ankalaev dominates fighters with his grappling; its really unbelievable the way he dominates. Blachowicz is a live dog, but Ankalaevs grappling is too much for anyone in this division. Morono, like Ponzinibbio, is a pretty active striker whose wins come by out-comboing his opponents on the feet. By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the, make sure you see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine analyst Kyle Marley, You can only see his MMA picks at SportsLine, Marley's picks and predictions are only available at SportsLine, Teixeira vs. Hill title fight added to UFC 283, Pimblett remains undefeated, beats Gordon, Rosas Jr. becomes youngest winner in UFC history, UFC 282 odds, parlay, best bets, prop picks. Donald Cerrone put a beating on him and knocked him out. Hernandez is a good athlete, and hes physical. However, a new generation of contenders will inevitably rise to the top. The UFC 282 main card is accessible in the United States via pay-per-view on ESPN+, which also needs a subscription. ET, ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass) Featherweight: Alexander Hernandez (+140) vs. Billy Quarantillo (-165) Bantamweight Steven Koslow (+270) is the biggest underdog on the card in his fight against Cameron Saaiman (-400). For Topuria, it's a strong boxing game with the punching power to stop opponents in their track. Unless hes on top of Quarantillo, though, I wont feel Hernandez is safe. Jets just playing in a game like this is a win, Vikings look to continue this magic formula in battle vs. Lions, Giants' Big Blueprint to pull off pivotal upset over rival Eagles, The Show with Joel Sherman and Jon Heyman, Amazin' But True: A NY Mets Baseball Podcast, Gangs All Here: A NY Jets Football Podcast, Diddy announces birth of 'baby girl' Love Sean Combs, Interior designer killed stepdad for keeping nude photos of her, prosecutors say. On BetMGM, Ankalaev is priced at -275, which is an implied win rate of 73.34 percent. That pace can break opponents too, and I usually have faith in Gordon to fight for a hard 15 minutes. His pressure wrestling is an element that he didn't have and he's a much bigger and stronger fighter than Adesanya. Please visit operator for details. ET) MAIN CARD (Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. That heavy-pressure strategy will also help Gordon limit the distance Paddy has for a takedown. However, even at age 39, Blachowicz is still proving to be a dangerous knockout threat, as hes coming off a KO victory against the much younger Aleksandar Rakic. Still, Ankalaev has better defense and is more impactful offensively, and I give him the edge in taking home the title this weekend. This title shot might be coming a little sooner than anticipated, but Ankalaev's shot at UFC gold has felt inevitable. Hes not aggressive enough, which will likely mean hell fall into competitive fights more often than wed like. How to Watch . Ankalaev has yet to fight on a stage this big, but all indications are that he's ready for the challenge. When is UFC 282: Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev? UFC 282 fight card, odds. Blachowiczs +255underdog status gives him an implied win probability of 28.17 percent and a $10 bet on him pays out $35.50. In a lightweight bout on the main card, Paddy Pimblett and Jared Gordon meet Saturday at UFC 282 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the UFC 282: Pimblett vs. Gordon odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.. . With so much happening on Saturday night, let's take a closer look at the full fight card with the latest odds from Caesars Sportsbook before we get to our staff predictions and picks for the PPV portion of the festivities. ET, while the main card begins at 10 p.m. Bodog currently has the up-and-comer Ankalaev as the -345 favorite in the UFC 282 odds. Lawlers last three fights have come against Barberena (loss technical knockout), Nick Diaz (win technical knockout) and Neil Magny (loss split decision). . Check back all week long for the latest news, features and other content around this massive event. UFC 282 predictions, odds: Jared Gordon, Darren Till vs. Dricus du Plessis among best bets to consider . The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. Now, two of those came at welterweight, and hes gone the distance with two very tough opponents (Whittaker, Kelvin Gastelum), but Tills suspect performance vs Brunson screams fade, fade, fade. The main problems with Quarantillos game are that hes not physical enough to compete with the top end of the division. On the feet, he could find some problems against Blachowicz, who has some excellent body kicks to slow down his opponents. Hes also very porous defensively, and hes only defending strikes at 40 percent and takedowns at 57 percent. If hes tired, Hernandez may even cede takedowns to Quarantillo and find himself tapping out in the same position as his last bout against Moicano. Additionally, betting markets predict that Bryce Mitchell will win this fight with an indicated probability of 45.45%. strikes per minute while absorbing 2.77 at a 55 percent defensive rate. The UFC is doing Till zero favors in this fight, and he is a rightful underdog. Surely, there is value in the prop, but Im looking at Ankalaev wins in rounds 2, 3, or 4. As much as I dont believe Pimblett will run through Gordon, hes likely to be successful and earn top position if hes aggressive early in this fight. MAIN CARD Pimblett will have a five-inch reach advantage over the shorter Gordon, meaning Flash must be aggressive to work his way in tight. Even on the mat, I dont think Quarantillo will let Hernandez rest. Hernandez has the tools to outmuscle Quarantillo in the early stages, but I have to respect the long game of Quarantillo, and I think his volume and pace likely break Hernandez at some point. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). I will write up a few of my favorite matchups from this slate, but if you want to chat about any other fights on the card, feel free to let me know in the comment section below. 2 min read The final UFC pay-per-view event of 2022 features a last minute change for the newly vacant light heavyweight title, but also some intriguing matchups on the undercard. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. Charles Oliveira who like Paddy is a lightweight with excellent jiu-jitsu fought Gordon at UFC on ESPN 22 and knocked the American out cold. If Ankalaev affords him any breathing room we could be in for a surprise. "At this level, Mitchell really needs to wrestle and grapple only. Thats a really low output and generally speaks to a fighter who struggles to win rounds consistently. 4-ranked Ankalaev has won nine straight UFC fights amid minimal fanfare because his sometimes-cautious style has failed to win favor among MMA fans. Here is all the information you need to know ahead of UFC 282, including time, channel, odds, card, and more. By the end of 282 . 10:00p. 5-ranked Aleksandar Rakic in May to rejoin the title picture. Its an intriguing stylistic matchup because neither Ankalaev nor Blachowicz fight at a super high pace and both are fairly solid defensively across the board. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. Du Plessis last fight vs Brad Tavares went to a decision, but his other two finished UNDER 1.5 rounds. Magomed is typically a slow starter who warms up to fights by picking at his opponent and finding vulnerabilities. UFC 282 kicks off live from Las Vegas, Nevada, for the light heavyweight title fight: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Jan Blachowicz. Call (877-8-HOPENY) or text HOPENY (467369). Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 282, which is set to hit T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., Dec. 10, 2022 . Hes not an elite wrestler, which will hold him back in the long run. Hernandez burst onto the scene with a beautiful 42-second KO over Beneil Dariush, a win that still looks amazing in hindsight. The 28-year-old Arkansas native is coming off a decision win against veteran contender Edson Barboza in March. Paddy Pimblett; -190; Jared Gordon; +165; Here's another exciting fight, primarily because of future implications for Paddy Pimblett. But the 39-year-old Polish slugger, who is best known for his massive power and underrated athleticism, came out flat against Teixeira and was submitted in the second round at UFC 267. Blachowicz will be Ankalaevs toughest test. Since Gordon will want to limit reach and takedowns, hell need to fight in close, which will undoubtedly lead to some spicy striking exchanges. The Argentian is physically larger and has tangled with a much higher caliber of opponents lately. However, I also think Pimbletts physicality and power could carry him to an early lead, and Gordons declining defensive skills may give Pimblett a clear path to success on the mat. I dont hate the idea of targeting Gordon if you are looking for a piece of the action, but I wouldnt consider this a priority because its far from an ideal stylistic matchup. This weekends fight card is absolutely loaded and features plenty of intriguing underdogs. T&C apply. That's where he's different than Reyes. And most recently, Renato Moicano hurt him and submitted him in round two. The last time the 39-year-old had an opportunity to fight for a vacated belt, he was an underdog against a younger, more-hyped Dominick Reyes. Still, I would lean toward Quarantillo as the value side in this matchup, just because Hernandez has not proven capable of matching a pace this high, and it will be a tough ask for him to finish Quarantillo quickly. The opponent gives him a chance to show off his skills too. Its a bit surprising to see Buckley grab favorite status this weekend against a legitimate contender like Curtis. His next challenge will be a veteran in Jared Gordon, who is certainly talented enough to win this matchup, but may be a little outmatched physically. Mitchell doesnt really stand a chance of hurting El Matador on the feet. 2 min read. His last two fights were narrow split-decision losses eight of Ponzinibbios 15 UFC fights have gone the distance and I can foresee a situation where this bout goes to the judges scorecards again. Click here for our full breakdown of the Pimblett vs Gordon odds. Round 1 outcome proceed to the next round +105 (PointsBet), The best insights from the ultimate insiders, 2022 NYP Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved, Take a shot on these two NFL Week 14 games, How we are betting the favored Steelers against the Ravens today. Ponzinibbio (28-6, 10-5 UFC) will now face Alex Morono (22-7, 11-4 UFC) in a 180-pound catchweight bout. If Blachowicz doesnt win by KO, which feels like a tough outcome to project, its hard to imagine hell be able to consistently win rounds on the feet. In the co-main event, lightweight prospects take the spotlight when Paddy Pimblett (-245) squares off against Jared Gordon (+205). Blachowicz earned the belt by defeating Dominick Reyes in 2020 and then successfully defended it against the challenging Israel Adesanya before falling short against Glover Teixeira. Paddys last three fights have come against Leavitt (win submission), Rodrigo Vargas (win submission) andLuigi Vendramini (win knockout). Dricus Du Plessis ML (-175, Barstool Sportsbook). The downside to his game is that he wont produce offense at a high rate, either. Although that may be correct, its far too wide of a price for me to consider him a value from a betting standpoint. Pimblett at least has a path to the same result, even if its not a guarantee he can find it. AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. UFC 282 takes place Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Topurias background is in jiu-jitsu, though his sheer strength and speed make him a fearsome foe on the feet, too. He stopped fellow prospect Jai Herbert in the second round of their March battle. ET, while the main card begins at 10 p.m. Bodog currently has the up-and-comer Ankalaev as the -265 favorite in the UFC 282 odds. It at least gives Hernandez a place to rest and a potential path to victory throughout the fight. Dricus Du Plessis Fight . However, the longer the fight goes, the more the tide will likely turn in Quarantillos favor. He also lands 1.08 takedowns per 15 minutes while defending at 66 percent. I believe Lawler still has knockout power;Im just unsure if hell have the cardio to use it late in this fight. Though hes coming off a defeat to Shane Burgos, Quarantillo still racked up 164 significant strikes and put on a show. He's also backing a fighter who "is the more dangerous fighter everywhere" to emerge with a dominant victory. The same could be said when he defended his belt against middleweight superstar Israel Adesanya. In a catch weight bout on the main card, Santiago Ponzinibbio and Alex Morono meet Saturday at UFC 282 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the UFC 282: Ponzinibbio vs. Morono odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.. Jump to: Light Heavyweight: Jan Blachowicz vs Magomed Ankalaev Lightweight: Paddy Pimblett vs Jared Gordon Welterweight: Robbie Lawler vs Santiago Ponzinibbio He climbed all over Jordan Leavitt at UFC London, and while both fighters were quite tired, Pimblett had the will to lock down the body triangle and squeeze for a rear-naked choke. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: mma | pageType: stories | One of the most fan-friendly fights on the slate, I always enjoy Billy Quarantillo, and Im curious to see how well he can handle a tough opponent in Alexander Hernandez. However, the winner fo their main card bout at UFC 282 is going to have a good case to get a top-five opponent next time out. Welcome back to another UFC breakdown for our final PPV card of 2022, which features Magomed Ankalaev and Jan Blachowciz squaring off for the Light Heavyweight belt! The Irishman is on the rise, and the latest UFC 282 betting odds favor him to maintain his perfect record in the UFC (3-0) and earn a title shot. The non-title fights on the UFC 282 main card came face-to-face for staredowns at Thursday's pre-fight press conference, including Paddy Pimblett vs. Jared Gordon. (Welcome Offer not available in NY & PA) Full T&C apply. But he is aggressive, and on the mat, he can transition well and threaten for submissions. We love this fight to finish inside the distance (odds TBD). But the prospect recaptured some of his momentum and fan support behind a second-round stoppage of former title challenger Anthony Smith at UFC 277 in May. ET on ESPN+, with the prelims set to begin at 8 p.m. But Hernandez is rating out as a fighter who needs to dominate his opponent to win at a high rate, and that wont often be the case in the stacked Lightweight division. He will generally be at disadvantages in that area. Defensively, Pimblett has a lot of work left to do, and Im unsure about his antics outside of the Octagon, which includes keeping his out-of-fight weight in check. Prediction: Ankalaev via fourth-round TKO. On the feet, the numbers tell us Ankalaev is a superior defender, absorbing just 2.14 significant strikes per minute (compared to Jans 2.77) and protecting himself from 60 percent of his opponents significant strikes (compared to Jans 54 percent). Who wins Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev? But Pimblett turned the momentum in round two and locked up an RNC choke to keep his undefeated promotional record intact. Since then, Ankalaev has won nine consecutive bouts, including five by knockout, most recently defeating Anthony Smith in July. The Prelims air at 8pm ET / 5pm PT on . Full T&Cs apply. Both are on the outside of the top five looking in at the UFC rankings. Mitchell is also a jiu-jitsu specialist,except he fights off his back more often and the Georgian has more powerful hands. The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. Eventually, Quarantillo may flip the momentum completely, hurt Hernandez and knock him out. Perhaps his size will be even more impactful, but Id guess his cardio may also be weaker because of the cut. UFC 282 Fight Card, Schedule and Odds. Gordons last three fights have come against Leonardo Santos (win unanimous decision), Grant Dawson (loss submission) and Joe Solecki (win split decision). Mitchell was able to spam takedowns and overmatch previous opponents Edson Barboza and Andre Fili, but that strategy wont work against Topuria, whos never been taken down in UFC competition. Gambling Problem? at ET) from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. A banger of a featherweight fight is found on the early prelims, as Billy Quarantillo takes on Alexander Hernandez, who is dropping down in weight. One of the best fights of UFC 282 is Chris Curtis vs. Joaquin Buckley. UFC 282 Odds For The Main Card: Magomed Ankalaev (-280) vs. Jan Blachowicz (+235) . According to the latest UFC 282 odds, Paddy Pimblett is favored to beat Jared Gordon in the co-main. ET. UFC 282 features Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev in a main event that . Mitchell has taken five of his six UFC fights the full 15 minutes, but hes tangled with patient fighters who dont possess Topurias bulldog energy. Paddy Pimblett v Jared Gordon is one of the biggest bouts at UFC 282, which is scheduled to take place on Saturday, December 10 at the T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada. Odds via Caesars Sportsbook. He doesnt seem to have one-punch KO power, and hes been badly hurt a few times himself. 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